Standard Liegevs
Dender
COMPLETEDBelgium · Cup · 10/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Standard Liege · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Standard Liege 2-0 Dender
Original prediction
Standard Liege
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 62.3% | 40.1% | -22.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.4% | 25.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 5.97 | 15.3% | 34.2% | 18.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Standard Liege
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Standard Liege has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 13 · GA 0 · avg 2.60/0.00