Standard Liegevs
Charleroi
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 10/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charleroi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Standard Liege 0-1 Charleroi
Original prediction
Charleroi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 32.4% | 27.5% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.4% | 23.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 40.2% | 49.2% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Charleroi
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Charleroi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20