Standard Liegevs
Antwerp
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/5/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Standard Liege · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Standard Liege 1-0 Antwerp
Original prediction
Standard Liege
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 44.0% | 46.7% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.3% | 24.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 28.8% | 29.2% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Standard Liege
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Standard Liege has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20