GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stratford Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Stamford 0-0 Stratford Town

Original prediction

Stratford Town

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.9023.0%26.9%3.9 pts
Draw3.6424.6%24.1%-0.5 pts
Away1.7152.4%49.0%-3.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

Stratford Town

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Stratford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StamfordLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Stratford TownWWLLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
StamfordStratford Town
3.7Attack33.3
7.4Defence33.3
0.0Form22.2
9.9Power32.3
1.16xG1.60
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