Stamfordvs
Real Bedford
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Bedford · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (13%), 0-4 (13%), 0-5 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stamford 0-4 Real Bedford
Original prediction
Real Bedford
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.39 | 10.7% | 5.8% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.00 | 17.9% | 10.3% | -7.6 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 71.4% | 83.9% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–313%
- 2.0–413%
- 3.0–511%
Predicted outcome
Real Bedford
Probability
83.9%
Model confidence
83.9%
Real Bedford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20