Stal Stalowa Wolavs
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stal Stalowa Wola · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stal Stalowa Wola 3-3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Original prediction
Stal Stalowa Wola
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.4% | 40.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.0% | 27.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 30.5% | 31.9% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Stal Stalowa Wola
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Stal Stalowa Wola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20