II Liga - East
Stal Stalowa Wola
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Tychy 71
AwayThe model projects 1.37 xG for Stal Stalowa Wola and 0.87 xG for Tychy 71. Tychy 71's projected xG of 0.87 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Stal Stalowa Wola's defensive record — 4 clean sheets in 10 matches — combined with Tychy 71's limited attacking output (3 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.23 — moderate attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesStal Stalowa WolaTychy 71Probability breakdown
Stal Stalowa Wola leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Stal Stalowa Wola Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0
Stal Stalowa Wola host Tychy 71 in II Liga - East. Stal Stalowa Wola have recorded WDWDWW in recent matches while Tychy 71 arrive with a run of WDWDDW. These sides have met 2 times recently, averaging 0.5 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Stal Stalowa Wola are generating a consistent xG advantage — 1.37 projected against 0.87 for Tychy 71. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.50 is the clearest signal in the model that Stal Stalowa Wola are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: Tychy 71 have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If Tychy 71 carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.
Risk factors
- ⚠Tychy 71 are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
- ⚠The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.
Recent form
Stal Stalowa Wola
Tychy 71
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy 71?
GoalVio's model predicts Stal Stalowa Wola to win with 46% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy 71?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy 71?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy 71?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.