Stal Stalowa Wolavs
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/24/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandecja Nowy Sącz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stal Stalowa Wola 1-0 Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Original prediction
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.4% | 31.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.0% | 25.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 40.6% | 42.3% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80