Stal Stalowa Wolavs
Śląsk Wrocław II
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stal Stalowa Wola · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stal Stalowa Wola 3-2 Śląsk Wrocław II
Original prediction
Stal Stalowa Wola
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.8% | 38.1% | -12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.6% | 27.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 24.5% | 34.6% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Stal Stalowa Wola
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Stal Stalowa Wola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80