Stal Rzeszówvs
Podbeskidzie
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podbeskidzie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stal Rzeszów 3-0 Podbeskidzie
Original prediction
Podbeskidzie
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.8% | 36.0% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.6% | 27.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.6% | 37.0% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Podbeskidzie
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Podbeskidzie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20