Stal Mielecvs
Odra Opole
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stal Mielec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stal Mielec 1-1 Odra Opole
Original prediction
Stal Mielec
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.2% | 45.1% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.6% | 26.5% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 31.1% | 28.4% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Stal Mielec
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Stal Mielec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20