Stal Mielecvs
Nieciecza
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nieciecza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stal Mielec 1-2 Nieciecza
Original prediction
Nieciecza
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.8% | 35.3% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.1% | 26.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.1% | 38.1% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Nieciecza
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Nieciecza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Stal MielecDDLLW
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NiecieczaWWDLL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Stal MielecNieciecza
66.7Attack66.7
44.4Defence83.3
55.6Form100.0
59.1Power86.5
1.42xG1.60