Stal Mielecvs
Chrobry Głogów
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 10/24/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chrobry Głogów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stal Mielec 0-0 Chrobry Głogów
Original prediction
Chrobry Głogów
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.3% | 34.5% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 28.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.7% | 37.2% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Chrobry Głogów
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Chrobry Głogów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40