Staffanstorp Unitedvs
Österlen
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Staffanstorp United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Staffanstorp United 2-2 Österlen
Original prediction
Staffanstorp United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.6% | 39.6% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.6% | 22.4% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 34.8% | 38.0% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Staffanstorp United
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Staffanstorp United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20