Staffanstorp Unitedvs
Sölvesborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Staffanstorp United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Staffanstorp United 4-0 Sölvesborg
Original prediction
Staffanstorp United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.4% | 42.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.8% | 21.7% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.9% | 35.7% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Staffanstorp United
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Staffanstorp United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20