Staffanstorp Unitedvs
Karlskrona
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlskrona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 0-3 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Staffanstorp United 0-2 Karlskrona
Original prediction
Karlskrona
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.38 | 16.8% | 10.8% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 21.0% | 14.4% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 1.45 | 62.2% | 74.8% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Karlskrona
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
74.8%
Karlskrona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 23 · GA 3 · avg 4.60/0.60