Staffanstorp Unitedvs
IFK Trelleborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Trelleborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Staffanstorp United 3-1 IFK Trelleborg
Original prediction
IFK Trelleborg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.87 | 23.3% | 17.2% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.1% | 18.9% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.6% | 63.9% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
IFK Trelleborg
Probability
63.9%
Model confidence
63.9%
IFK Trelleborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20