Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kornburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Stadeln are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Kornburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kornburg hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, while Kornburg holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kornburg
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
13.3%
Kornburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40