GGOALVIO

Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/30/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Stade Tunisien are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Olympique Béja are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Stade Tunisien hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Ligue 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stade TunisienWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Olympique BéjaW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Stade TunisienOlympique Béja
34.8Attack37.2
77.3Defence70.5
53.0Form52.6
57.1Power54.7
0.68xG0.47
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