Stade Tunisienvs
EGS Gafsa
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/16/2023, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Stade Tunisien are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.75 conceded, while EGS Gafsa are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Stade Tunisien hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Ligue 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/0.75
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50