GGOALVIO

Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/16/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Stade Tunisien are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.75 conceded, while EGS Gafsa are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Stade Tunisien hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Ligue 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stade TunisienLWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
EGS GafsaLD

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Stade TunisienEGS Gafsa
34.8Attack25.6
77.3Defence62.8
53.0Form39.7
57.1Power45.0
0.88xG0.31
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