Stade Tunisienvs
CS Sfaxien
SCHEDULEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/22/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Stade Tunisien are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CS Sfaxien are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 57.1 against 55.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Ligue 1, favouring a draw with 44.0% confidence, a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
44.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20