Stade Soussienvs
Sfax Railways
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 2 · 10/26/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Stade Soussien 0-0 Sfax Railways, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Soussien 1-0 Sfax Railways
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 08:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 30.7% | 33.2% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.5% | 31.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 37.8% | 35.0% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Stade Soussien 0–0 Sfax Railways
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.7%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Stade SoussienLWLD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25
BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Sfax RailwaysDDDWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Stade SoussienSfax Railways
41.7Attack33.3
58.3Defence75.0
33.3Form50.0
44.6Power56.2
0.92xG0.93