Stade Nyonnaisvs
Neuchatel Xamax FC
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 9/11/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neuchatel Xamax FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Nyonnais 1-3 Neuchatel Xamax FC
Original prediction
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 26.7% | 27.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.8% | 24.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 48.4% | 48.1% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Neuchatel Xamax FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00