GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 7/28/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Neuchatel Xamax FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stade Nyonnais are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Neuchatel Xamax FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Neuchatel Xamax FC hold a 60.4-point power-rating edge (22.9 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Challenge League, while Neuchatel Xamax FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Neuchatel Xamax FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stade NyonnaisDLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Neuchatel Xamax FCWDLDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Stade NyonnaisNeuchatel Xamax FC
22.2Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
22.9Power83.3
1.10xG1.95
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