Stade Nyonnaisvs
FC Winterthur
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 9/1/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Winterthur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Nyonnais 2-2 FC Winterthur
Original prediction
FC Winterthur
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.15 | 22.0% | 21.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.7% | 23.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 55.3% | 55.4% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
FC Winterthur
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
FC Winterthur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80