GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 8/11/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stade Nyonnais · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stade Nyonnais are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Schaffhausen are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Schaffhausen hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (22.9 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Challenge League, while Stade Nyonnais holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stade Nyonnais

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Stade Nyonnais has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stade NyonnaisLDDLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
FC SchaffhausenLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Stade NyonnaisFC Schaffhausen
22.2Attack33.3
33.3Defence49.1
0.0Form35.2
22.9Power41.3
1.35xG1.08
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