Stade Nyonnaisvs
FC Basel 1893
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Schweizer Cup · 10/16/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Basel 1893 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Nyonnais 0-3 FC Basel 1893
Original prediction
FC Basel 1893
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 15.50 | 5.9% | 31.5% | 25.6 pts |
| Draw | 7.81 | 11.6% | 22.5% | 10.8 pts |
| Away | 1.10 | 82.5% | 46.1% | -36.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-36.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Basel 1893
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
FC Basel 1893 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60