Stade Lausanne-Ouchyvs
Étoile Carouge
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Schweizer Cup · 10/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3-0 Étoile Carouge
Original prediction
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.9% | 45.6% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.2% | 25.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 5.05 | 18.0% | 29.3% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20