Stade Lausanne-Ouchyvs
Étoile Carouge
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 9/1/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3-0 Étoile Carouge
Original prediction
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.3% | 47.1% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.9% | 26.8% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.41 | 20.7% | 26.1% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60