Stade Lausanne-Ouchyvs
Neuchatel Xamax FC
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 10/23/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax FC
Original prediction
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 58.2% | 70.6% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.1% | 17.0% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 4.63 | 19.7% | 12.4% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Probability
70.6%
Model confidence
70.6%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00