Stade Lausanne-Ouchyvs
FC WIL 1900
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 9/11/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 4-0 FC WIL 1900
Original prediction
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.8% | 71.2% | 9.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.6% | 16.3% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 5.16 | 17.6% | 12.5% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Probability
71.2%
Model confidence
71.2%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60