GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Super League · 7/26/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Lugano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FC Lugano are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lugano hold a 57.4-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 91.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.3% in the Super League, while FC Lugano holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Lugano

Probability

71.3%

Model confidence

71.3%

FC Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stade Lausanne-OuchyDWLLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC LuganoDWDWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Stade Lausanne-OuchyFC Lugano
35.1Attack100.0
32.5Defence77.8
25.4Form100.0
33.8Power91.2
0.88xG2.66
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