Stade Gabesienvs
Moknine
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 2 · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stade Gabesien · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Gabesien 0-0 Moknine
Original prediction
Stade Gabesien
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.5% | 47.0% | -20.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.1% | 28.4% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 8.59 | 10.4% | 24.6% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Stade Gabesien
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Stade Gabesien has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60