Stade Brestois 29vs
Toulouse
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 1 · 8/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stade Brestois 29 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Brestois 29 2-2 Toulouse
Original prediction
Stade Brestois 29
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 35.8% | 42.0% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 28.6% | 27.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 35.6% | 30.7% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Stade Brestois 29
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Stade Brestois 29 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20