Stade Brestois 29vs
Nice
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 1 · 10/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stade Brestois 29 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Brestois 29 1-2 Nice
Original prediction
Stade Brestois 29
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 42.4% | 51.5% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 27.5% | 24.7% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 30.1% | 23.8% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Stade Brestois 29
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Stade Brestois 29 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20