Stade Brestois 29vs
Monza
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Brestois 29 2-2 Monza
Original prediction
Monza
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 41.1% | 37.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.4% | 25.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.6% | 37.3% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Monza
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Monza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Stade Brestois 29LLWDD
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MonzaLWLDW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Stade Brestois 29Monza
50.0Attack80.0
33.3Defence20.0
33.3Form46.7
41.9Power50.8
2.19xG2.36