Stade Brestois 29vs
Angers
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 1 · 10/10/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stade Brestois 29 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stade Brestois 29 5-1 Angers
Original prediction
Stade Brestois 29
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 49.5% | 39.0% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 25.7% | 26.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 24.9% | 34.0% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Stade Brestois 29
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Stade Brestois 29 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00