Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabæk W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Stabæk W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Røa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabæk W hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 35.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.2% in the Toppserien, while Stabæk W holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabæk W
Probability
69.2%
Model confidence
17.2%
Stabæk W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00