Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stabæk W 0-1 Brann W
Original prediction
Brann W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.48 | 10.7% | 18.4% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.35 | 16.9% | 19.4% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 72.4% | 62.3% | -10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Brann W
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
62.3%
Brann W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Stabæk WLWWDL
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Brann WWWWLW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Stabæk WBrann W
68.8Attack100.0
60.4Defence91.7
50.0Form91.7
57.6Power90.7
1.13xG2.02