Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabæk II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 4-3 (6%), 5-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stabæk II 2-2 Hinna
Original prediction
Stabæk II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 29.0% | 53.4% | 24.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.9% | 16.8% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.1% | 29.8% | -19.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
24.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.4–36%
- 3.5–26%
Predicted outcome
Stabæk II
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Stabæk II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Stabæk IILWWLD
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HinnaWLLWD
GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Stabæk IIHinna
70.8Attack63.9
25.0Defence4.2
45.8Form36.1
48.0Power36.1
4.50xG2.72