Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabæk II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stabæk II 1-2 Flekkerøy
Original prediction
Stabæk II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.7% | 43.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.6% | 24.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 34.6% | 31.5% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Stabæk II
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Stabæk II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Stabæk IIDWLWL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FlekkerøyDLLWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Stabæk IIFlekkerøy
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
2.42xG1.71