Stabaekvs
Sandnes ULF
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 10/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stabaek 4-1 Sandnes ULF
Original prediction
Stabaek
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 65.1% | 65.1% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.86 | 18.9% | 18.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 5.75 | 16.0% | 16.4% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.3–08%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StabaekDLWLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sandnes ULFDDLWL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
StabaekSandnes ULF
78.7Attack48.0
56.0Defence38.7
61.3Form34.7
64.1Power41.3
3.37xG1.10