Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 5-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stabaek 4-2 Ranheim
Original prediction
Stabaek
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 65.4% | 77.2% | 11.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.13 | 17.9% | 11.9% | -6.0 pts |
| Away | 5.50 | 16.7% | 10.9% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.5–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
77.2%
Model confidence
77.2%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StabaekWWWWW
GF 21 · GA 5 · avg 4.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RanheimLWLLL
GF 12 · GA 16 · avg 2.40/3.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
StabaekRanheim
88.9Attack81.5
64.8Defence16.7
72.2Form42.6
73.4Power46.7
4.50xG1.48