Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Stabaek are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Egersund are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Egersund hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Egersund holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
12.8%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00