Staal Jørpelandvs
Mandalskameratene
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 4 · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mandalskameratene · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Staal Jørpeland 0-2 Mandalskameratene
Original prediction
Mandalskameratene
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 29.2% | 31.8% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 20.9% | 24.5% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 49.9% | 43.7% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Mandalskameratene
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Mandalskameratene has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00