St. Vincent / Grenadinesvs
French Guyana
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/26/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
French Guyana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Vincent / Grenadines 2-1 French Guyana
Original prediction
French Guyana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.9% | 32.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.8% | 24.0% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.3% | 43.2% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
French Guyana
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
French Guyana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00