St. Truidenvs
Standard Liege
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 7/30/2023, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Truiden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
St. Truiden are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Standard Liege are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 3.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Truiden hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Jupiler Pro League, while St. Truiden holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St. Truiden
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
St. Truiden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 3.50/1.00