St. Truidenvs
RAAL La Louvière
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/5/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Truiden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Truiden 4-0 RAAL La Louvière
Original prediction
St. Truiden
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 59.1% | 53.3% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 23.1% | 23.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 5.25 | 17.8% | 23.3% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
St. Truiden
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
St. Truiden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60