GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Truiden · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

St. Truiden are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Omonia Nicosia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Omonia Nicosia hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while St. Truiden holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Truiden

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

13.9%

St. Truiden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. TruidenDLLDW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Omonia NicosiaWDLWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
St. TruidenOmonia Nicosia
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
50.0Power64.8
1.32xG1.27
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