St. Truidenvs
FC Iberia 1999
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Truiden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Truiden 2-0 FC Iberia 1999
Original prediction
St. Truiden
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 78.0% | 47.6% | -30.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.58 | 14.3% | 25.6% | 11.2 pts |
| Away | 12.32 | 7.6% | 26.8% | 19.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
St. Truiden
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
St. Truiden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80